This webinar will provide an overview of the use of scenario planning in violence risk assessment and management. Scenario planning allows risk and threat assessment professionals to forecast possible violent futures and build management plans to prevent those futures. This webinar will explore the historical roots of scenario planning in the military, industry, finance, and disaster planning. Most of the webinar will focus on how scenario planning methods, when used as part of Structured Professional Judgement (SPJ) risk assessment, can assist professionals in three important ways. First, scenarios can help evaluators consider repeat, escalation, twist, worst case, and best case trajectories of violence. Second, they enable us to hypothesize about the likelihood, nature, severity, imminence, and frequency of future violence. Third, they aid in the construction of monitoring, supervision, treatment, and victim safety planning strategies. A series of case studies will be presented illustrating the use of scenario planning with diverse violent offenders.
Webinar Outline:
- Historical roots of scenario planning (military, industry, finance, and disaster planning)
- Planning methods (SPJ)
- Case studies to illustrate scenario planning
Intended Audience:
This webinar is intended for professionals that want to enhance their understanding in scenario planning in violence risk assessment and management, including those working in criminal justice, security, health care, social service, education, and human resources settings. This webinar is for beginner, intermediate, and advanced level clinicians.
